Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Basic Probability of Single Events

SAT Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

In this lesson:

  • Calculate probability using
  • Read probability from two-way frequency tables
  • Use the complement and addition rules
Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Your Learning Goals for This Lesson

By the end of this lesson, you will be able to:

  1. Calculate probability using
  2. Read probability from tables, bar charts, and circle graphs
  3. Apply the complement rule
  4. Apply the addition rule for compound events
Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Probability Connects to Everyday Language

  • "Fifty-fifty" →
  • "Almost certain" → close to
  • "Impossible" →

Probability is a number from 0 to 1 (inclusive).

On the SAT, probabilities appear as fractions, decimals, or percents.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Probability Is a Ratio: Favorable Over Total

  • : impossible
  • : certain
  • Always:
Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Example: Drawing from a Bag

A bag has 4 red, 3 blue, and 5 green marbles. One is drawn at random.

What is ?

  • Favorable: 3 blue marbles
  • Total: marbles

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Reading Probability from Two-Way Tables

Two-way frequency table: Grade vs subject preference, 200 students total

Key: "From what group am I selecting?" — that group's total is your denominator.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Table Example: Finding P of Math

Math Science Total
Grade 9 45 35 80
Grade 10 50 70 120
Total 95 105 200

Selected from all 200:

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Quick Check: Find P of Grade 9

Same table, selected from all 200:

Math Science Total
Grade 9 45 35 80
Grade 10 50 70 120
Total 95 105 200

Find . Think before advancing…

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

The Complement Rule: Finding P(not A)

Use when is simple but counting "not A" is tedious.

Example: Die roll.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

The Addition Rule for Overlapping Events

Venn diagram showing two overlapping circles A and B, overlap shaded twice

Subtract the overlap — it gets counted twice otherwise.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Addition Rule: Mutually Exclusive Events

Cannot happen simultaneously →

Example: Die.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Addition Rule Applied: Overlapping Events

From the survey table (200 students):

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Quick Check: Mutually Exclusive Events

Event A and Event B are mutually exclusive. , .

What is ?

Think before advancing…

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

SAT Strategy: Probability from Tables

For every SAT probability question from a table:

  1. Identify the group you are selecting from (denominator)
  2. Find the condition count in the table (numerator)
  3. Form the ratio and simplify
  4. Check: is the answer between 0 and 1?

The hardest part is identifying the correct denominator.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

SAT-Style Problem 1: Remote Work Survey

Survey of 150 workers:

Remote Office Total
Manager 30 20 50
Staff 40 60 100
Total 70 80 150

Selected at random:

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

SAT-Style Problem 2: Using the Complement

Same table, selected at random:

Direct:

Complement:

Both give .

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Your Turn: SAT Probability Practice

250 students: Smartphone(140) / Laptop(110). Grade 11 = 100, Grade 12 = 150. Grade 11 Laptop = 40.

  1. ?
  2. ?
  3. ?

Pause and work each before advancing.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Check Your Work: Practice Solutions

1.

2.

3.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Key Takeaways: Basic Probability Rules

  • ✓ Tables: denominator = the group selected from
  • ✓ Complement:
  • ✓ Addition: subtract the overlap

⚠️ Wrong denominator is the #1 SAT trap

⚠️ Forgetting to subtract overlap → answer too large

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis
Basic Probability | Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

What You Will Learn Next

Next lesson: Conditional Probability

You will learn:

  • : the probability of given that has occurred
  • How "given that" changes the denominator
  • Why in general

Conditional probability uses the same tables — just a different denominator.

Grade 10 SAT Math | Domain 2: Problem-Solving and Data Analysis

Click to begin the narrated lesson

Basic probability of single events